MANIFOLD
Will a 2024 presidential candidate die prior to the election?
42
Ṁ1kṀ8.6k
resolved Nov 8
Resolved
NO

To resolve YES, a noteworthy candidate listed on the site below must die prior to Election Day, November 5, 2024.

https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_candidates,_2024

Market context
US Politics
Politics
News
2024 US Presidential Election
Joe Biden
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ220
2Ṁ94
3Ṁ40
4Ṁ33
5Ṁ29

People are also trading

Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
18% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 US presidential election die during their term
23% chance
Will the president elected in 2024 die before inauguration day 2029
21% chance
Will Joe Biden die before the 2028 presidential election (Nov. 7 2028)?
34% chance
Will the US President of the 2024-2028 term die while being the President?
19% chance
Will the next President of the United States die in office?
19% chance
Will the president elected in 2028 die in office?
13% chance
Which 2024 US presidential candidate will live longer?
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
33% chance
Will the next president die while in office?
18% chance
Sort by:

@AviSchwartz resolves NO

@mods deleted creator account.

What if a candidate withdraws from the race and later dies?

predictedNO

@CollectedOverSpread Resolves NO

The linked reference page is a wiki, meaning a page which can easily be edited and can be expected to do so. Suggest copying the list from that page as of today and/or listing formal criteria for what constitutes a major candidate.

https://ballotpedia.org/List_of_registered_2020_presidential_candidates

List of registered 2020 presidential candidates
Ballotpedia: The Encyclopedia of American Politics

Several hundred people are running for US 2024 president...

@MaybeNotDepends Edited the description

People are also trading

Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
18% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 US presidential election die during their term
23% chance
Will the president elected in 2024 die before inauguration day 2029
21% chance
Will Joe Biden die before the 2028 presidential election (Nov. 7 2028)?
34% chance
Will the US President of the 2024-2028 term die while being the President?
19% chance
Will the next President of the United States die in office?
19% chance
Will the president elected in 2028 die in office?
13% chance
Which 2024 US presidential candidate will live longer?
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
33% chance
Will the next president die while in office?
18% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy