How many days will the October 2023 Gaza-Israel conflict last before a ceasefire is declared?
53
1.9kṀ23kresolved Jan 10
50%48%
Other
50%48%Other
0.1%
4-7 days
0.1%
8-14 days
0.2%
15-30 days
3%
31-60 days
1.4%
61-90 days
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@CelebratedWhale I'm not so sure you're right. Remember before this ceasefire there were short humanitarian breaks every day. Might have been referring to that. But Avi is still active, with a new account, so let's see what he says.
@Shump before this ceasefire, the media was referring to it as a truce. Lasting ceasefire sounds to me like end of war but we can ask. should prob resolve n/a
@AviSchwartz You can, but if you just want to tell us how you would resolve this, I can just tell the mods to do so
@TomBouley If a ceasefire like the one in the linked article below during the 2014 war happned in the current war how would this market resove?
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2014/8/1/israeli-military-announces-end-to-gaza-truce