Will right-wing parties take more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 European Parliament elections?
6
130Ṁ238Jan 1
20%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Left-wing parties gain seats in 2025 Dutch elections?
29% chance
Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2025?
24% chance
Will Orbán Viktor's party win a supermajority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary election?
46% chance
How many EU countries will have far-right governments in 2027?
Will the German political party AfD (right to far-right) get over 35% of the votes in the next election?
20% chance
Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)
68% chance
Will a new UK political party gain 50+ seats by the end of 2028? (In the house of commons)
13% chance