Will any major LLM (like phind/mixtral) contain the entirety of @zvi's blog (https://thezvi.wordpress.com) by EOY 2025?
1
95Ṁ10
Jan 1
56%
chance
LLMs
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

How are you going to test it? It's likely that the blog is in training data, but unlikely that a model will reproduce it verbatim.

@ProjectVictory Can it locate specific posts/content from at least 3 of his blog entries, at least one of them being non-recent/ancient content on his blog?

What does "locate" mean? Meaning it returns the URL when prompted?

People are also trading

Will we get a new LLM paradigm by EOY?
18% chance
What will be true of Anthropic's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will YouTube Comments make it into a major LLM by EOY 2027?
62% chance
Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?
86% chance
Will LLMs Daydream by EOY 2026?
20% chance
What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will Matei Zaharia's posts on HeavenGames show up in a LLM created about him by EOY 2025?
36% chance
Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2028?
70% chance
Will one of the major LLMs be capable of continual lifelong learning (learning from inference runs) by EOY 2025?
4% chance
Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?
14% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy