If I attend EA Global Boston, will I consider it a better use of my time than the counterfactual?
If this charity is on the EA Donation Election, will it win?
Will the EA Forum Donation Election Fund raise $50k?
Will the EA Forum Donation Election Fund raise $40k?
At the end of 2023, how well will people in EA think they handled the FTX scandal?
Will I consider EA more centralized at the end of 2023 than it is in November 2022?
Will I get accepted into EA Global 2024?
By the end of 2023, will substantial evidence emerge that leaders in EA knew about (or had strong suspicions of) SBF/FTX's unethical investing practices and chose to cover it up?
Will EA funding in 2023 be higher than in 2021?
In the 2022 EA survey, what % of EAs select "AI Risk" as top cause?
Will the EA Forum Donation Election Fund raise $100k?
Will there be public knowledge of a major IT-Security incident at a well-known EA org before 2024?
Will EA Munich host a regular community event with over 25 people attending before the end of the year?
In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)
Will any major EA organization release a post-mortem estimating that the fallout from the FTX collapse cost EA as a whole >=$100 million?
In 2 months, will the Open AI ouster have been confirmed to be EA(-ish)-instigated?
Will a whistleblower protection scheme be implemented in 2023 for members of EA organisations?
Will EA funding in 2023 be higher than in 2022?
Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?
Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?