Which living current/former US president will die first?
16
150Ṁ9062029
9%
Bill Clinton
10%
George W. Bush
1.5%
Barack Obama
23%
Donald Trump
56%
Joe Biden
0.5%
Resolution criteria
This market resolves to whichever of the five living presidents dies first.
Resolution will be determined by the date of death as reported by major news outlets (AP, Reuters, BBC, NPR, etc.).
The market resolves to "Other" if none of the five specified presidents dies before the market creator closes it or if the market is otherwise abandoned.
If a new president is inaugurated before the death of the aforementioned 5, they'll be added to the list. Though I wouldn't expect it, future presidents will also be added after a 6th living one.
Will extend closing date if needed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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