Which living current/former president will die first?
8
150αΉ€517
2029
22%
Bill Clinton
23%
George W. Bush
2%
Barack Obama
15%
Donald Trump
37%
Joe Biden
0.6%
Other

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to whichever of the five living presidents dies first.

Resolution will be determined by the date of death as reported by major news outlets (AP, Reuters, BBC, NPR, etc.).

The market resolves to "Other" if none of the five specified presidents dies before the market creator closes it or if the market is otherwise abandoned.

If a new president is inaugurated before the death of the aforementioned 5, they'll be added to the list. Though I wouldn't expect it, future presidents will also be added after a 6th living one.

Will extend closing date if needed.

Get
αΉ€1,000
to start trading!
Β© Manifold Markets, Inc.β€’Termsβ€’Privacy