Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 5 years? | Manifold

Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 5 years?

Basic

6

Ṁ100

2028

38%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Its hard to quantify this exactly. At least according to this article the (mid-term) damage in global economic growth was about 2 trillion USD (https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/a-guide-to-the-financial-crisis--10-years-later/2018/09/10/114b76ba-af10-11e8-a20b-5f4f84429666_story.html). Anything reasonable near that number counts. If you have better ideas to measure this, comment below.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Financial crisis

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Does a “shock” include both positive and negative financial events? Would GDP growth far above current forecasts be considered a “shock?”

@AdamK My guess its impossible for a positive shock to generate 2 trillion USD in economic growth damage. Technically the question is "like 2008", so I wont change it now. A shock far exceeding 2 trillion USD does not count.

Related questions

Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 10 years?

Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?

Will there be a huge economic crisis that will impact the global economy in 2024?

Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 15 years?

Will there be a global recession declared by the IMF before December 31, 2025?

Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 20 years?

Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 15 years?

Will there be an international or global crisis in the year 2024?

Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 20 years?

Will AI cause a financial crash within a decade? (By Oct 2032)

Related questions

Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 10 years?

Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 20 years?

Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?

Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 15 years?

Will there be a huge economic crisis that will impact the global economy in 2024?

Will there be an international or global crisis in the year 2024?

Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 15 years?

Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 20 years?

Will there be a global recession declared by the IMF before December 31, 2025?

Will AI cause a financial crash within a decade? (By Oct 2032)

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules