If Trump is elected, will there be a government shutdown before the 2026 midterms?

If Donald Trump does not win the 2024 presidential election this market will resolve to N/A. If Donald Trump does win the 2024 presidential election:

  • This market will resolve to YES if, before November 3rd 2026, there is a government shutdown for any amount of time. A government shutdown is defined as a failure to pass legislation funding the federal government that results in federal employees being furloughed.

  • This market will resolve to NO otherwise

Note: if this market is featured on the Manifold Politics page the @ManifoldPolitics account may make edits, issue clarifications, and decide the resolution in ambiguous cases.

Get แน€600 play money
Sort by:

The house of reps probably has a greater effect on this