If Trump is elected, will there be a government shutdown before the 2026 midterms?
45
240Ṁ5937resolved Oct 1
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Donald Trump does not win the 2024 presidential election this market will resolve to N/A. If Donald Trump does win the 2024 presidential election:
- This market will resolve to YES if, before November 3rd 2026, there is a government shutdown for any amount of time. A government shutdown is defined as a failure to pass legislation funding the federal government that results in federal employees being furloughed. 
- This market will resolve to NO otherwise 
Note: if this market is featured on the Manifold Politics page the @ManifoldPolitics account may make edits, issue clarifications, and decide the resolution in ambiguous cases.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get  1,000 to start trading!
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit | 
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ96 | |
| 2 | Ṁ82 | |
| 3 | Ṁ66 | |
| 4 | Ṁ64 | |
| 5 | Ṁ48 | 
Sort by:
