Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)
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This market is resolved when a permanent peace treaty is signed between Ukrainian and Russian governments, or the total capitulation of either side.
Sep 29, 9:44pm: added capitulation clause.
Oct 1, 12:37pm: A temporary ceasefire that lasts over a year without casualties, while Russia still occupies the territories in question will resolve market to YES.
Close date updated to 2025-12-23 11:59 pm
Close date updated to 2053-12-23 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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