Will any US congressional seats be elected by proportional election by the end of 2028?
Basic
4
Ṁ1202029
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if at any point before 2029, the established voting method for any seat in the US house of representatives is a form of proportional representation. Any form of proportional representation counts: STV, MMP, and party-list would all count.
The seats must be voting seats; if a PR method for electing non-voting congressional delegates is established that will not count for resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
There will be a US presidential election in 2028.
97% chance
Will one party win at least 228 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in 2024?
57% chance
Will any US state or DC use proportional representation for their state legislatures by the end of 2028?
25% chance
By what year will one of the United States of America elect all its US Representatives proportionally?
Will any U.S. Senate seat scheduled for the November 2024 election be decided by fewer than 0.1% of its district votes?
13% chance
Will at least 15 U.S. House races be decided by less than 2% in 2024?
56% chance
Will at least 5 U.S. House elections be decided by less than 0.5% in 2024?
41% chance
Will at least 20 U.S. House races be decided by less than 3% in 2024?
60% chance
Will at least 25 U.S. House races be decided by less than 3% in 2024?
52% chance
Will one party win at least 250 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in 2024?
13% chance