Donald Trump’s Destiny
US Politics•Politics•Trump
14
68
2032
65%
A Second Term
13%
Prison
14%
Both
8%
Neither

Get Ṁ200 play money
1 Comment
22 Trades
Sort by:

This was one of my early markets and I neglected to add a clear description. I’d like to clarify a bit what I mean here. “Prison” and “Both” will would resolve based on the definition here:

https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned?r=QW5zZWw

The “A second term” and “both” options will resolve based on whether Donald J. Trump is ever President of the United States again, regardless of how he gets there.

When will Trump be imprisoned?
Resolves based on day that his prison sentence starts, or "never" if he dies without serving a prison sentence. What counts? Jail or house arrest pre-conviction does not, must be serving a sentence. Prison post-conviction counts. Jail post-conviction MAY count, to be determined, see comments. House arrest post-conviction MAY count, to be determined, see comments.

Related in US Politics

See more US Politics questions

Related in Politics

See more Politics questions

Related in Trump

See more Trump questions

More related questions