Contingent Market: Donald Trump Election and Constitutional Crisis
Mini
3
Ṁ452030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
30%
Trump wins: Constitutional Crisis
30%
Trump loses: Constitutional Crisis
Trump winning the election will be determined by the outcome of this market:
https://www.manifoldpolitics.com/jack/who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
Constitutional crisis will be determined by the outcome of this market:
https://manifold.markets/Ansel/will-the-united-states-experience-a?r=QW5zZWw
If Trump wins, 2. Resolves N/A
If Trump does not win, 1. Resolves N/A
The remaining option then resolves as per the Constitutional Crisis market.
Edit: The “Trump Loses” option includes all scenarios where he is not duly elected president, such as not being on the ballot
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