Will all 31 current NATO member countries still be NATO members in 2030?
11
170Ṁ8172030
93%
chance
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Territorial changes of the countries are not relevant to this market. Additional members joining and then leaving are also not resolution criteria.
Current list:
Albania
Belgium
Bulgaria
Canada
Croatia
Czechia
Denmark
Estonia
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Iceland
Italy
Latvia
Lithuania
Luxembourg
Montenegro
Netherlands
North Macedonia
Norway
Poland
Portugal
omania
Slovakia
Slovenia
Spain
Türkiye
United Kingdom
United States
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@HenriLaupmaa Sweden was not a NATO member when this market was made, so it's one of the "additional members" that don't count toward resolving it.
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