Will Trump reach X% on Manifold by Halloween? | Manifold

Will Trump reach X% on Manifold by Halloween?

11

Ṁ2875

Nov 1

1D

1W

1M

ALL

33%

51%

25%

53%

24%

52%

8%

55%

7%

56%

7%

57%

6%

58%

6%

59%

6%

54%

5%

60%

An answer resolves to YES if the answer's percentage (or higher) is reached as the displayed percentage of the following embedded question before this question closes on Halloween, NO otherwise:

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#Republican Party

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Just for clarification: this is for the mana market's probability correct (that's the one you embedded)?

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