
Will Trump get to 50% on Manifold by Halloween?
4
1kṀ5600resolved Sep 26
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if this question displays 50% or higher at any point before this question closes (starting 9/26 when this question was opened): https://manifold.markets/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election
Resolves to NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ782 | |
2 | Ṁ35 |
People are also trading
If Trump wins, will Manifold users vote that his performance has been better than they expected by the midterms?
41% chance
Will Manifold's Approval Ratings end the year over 50%? (Poll Index version)
55% chance
Will Manifold think Trump made a serious attempt to remain in charge at the end of his term?
41% chance
Sort by:
@jacksonpolack Sorry, it has to go to or above 50% between the opening of the question and Halloween.
People are also trading
Related questions
If Trump wins, will Manifold users vote that his performance has been better than they expected by the midterms?
41% chance
Will Manifold's Approval Ratings end the year over 50%? (Poll Index version)
55% chance
Will Manifold think Trump made a serious attempt to remain in charge at the end of his term?
41% chance