Will Vermont have had two female representatives by 2028? | Manifold

Will Vermont have had two female representatives by 2028?

Basic

6

Ṁ150

2028

42%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Vermont has never sent a woman to Congress. Resolves "YES" if Vermont will have sent at least two (distinct) women to Congress by 2028 as members of the House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate. Resolves "NO" otherwise. Resolves "N/A" if Vermont ceases to be a state, its population goes down to zero, etc.

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predicts NO

Vermont's now at 1!!!!

Becca Balint will be elected to the House, so then it's just about who replaces Bernie, assuming he retires - plus Peter Welch, if he does in 2026. One could be Balint, could both be men, but there are various opportunities so it seems >50 to me.

@Conflux Oops, Welch's term ends 2028. Nevermind.

predicts YES

@Conflux I mean 2029, election will be 2028.

Will Vermont have had two female representatives by 2028?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

they have no eyes so they can overlook bad things congress does

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