Will the U. S. President pardon Donald Trump by February 2025?
Plus
21
Ṁ1387Feb 1
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Donald Trump is pardoned (to any extent) by the president of the United States before February 1, 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@AndrewG He could have just pre-emptively pardoned himself for all crimes ever committed in the past or future and I'm not entirely clear why he didn't. It's a great power move if you don't care about democracy.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Joe Biden pardon Hunter Biden before Jan 21, 2025?
21% chance
Will Trump pardon anyone by the end of January 2025?
78% chance
[Metaculus] Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?
22% chance
Will the U. S. President pardon Julian Assange by February 2025?
13% chance
Will the U. S. President pardon Edward Snowden by February 2025?
8% chance
Will Trump pardon himself over the course of his second term?
48% chance
Assuming Donald Trump is sworn in as President, will he pardon Hunter Biden before January 1, 2026?
40% chance
Will Trump pardon any of the convicted “J6ers” before 2028?
90% chance
If Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?
70% chance
Will the U. S. President pardon Joe Exotic by February 2025?
22% chance