Donald Trump gets pardoned or granted clemency by EOY 2032
4
27
Ṁ116Ṁ130
2032
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if pardoned or granted clemency by the US president. Includes self-pardons. Includes secret pardons if we find out about them by EOY 2032, including secret pardons already issued prior to market creation.
Resolves NO if he dies without such action (so posthumous pardons don't count) or at the end of 2032.
Prosecutorial discretion doesn't count. Jury nullification doesn't count. Judicial sentencing discretion doesn't count.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
@MarkIngraham Yes, current precedent is that the US president can pardon me for things I have not been charged with.
Related questions
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030?
39% chance
Will Donald Trump be convicted of any crime by the end of 2024?
82% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison time by 2025?
39% chance
If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)
37% chance
Will Donald Trump spend any time in prison before 2030?
37% chance
Will Donald Trump be pardoned before 2027?
30% chance
Will trump ever receive any federal pardon in his lifetime?
47% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2028?
40% chance
Will the U. S. President pardon Donald Trump by February 2025?
24% chance
If elected in 2024 will Trump issue more than 50 years in total in January 6th related pardons?
68% chance