Will Republicans be ahead of Democrats in generic ballot polls on...
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Plus
15
Ṁ7547
resolved Nov 7
Resolved
NO
June 1st?
Resolved
NO
September 1st?
Resolved
NO
April 1st?
Resolved
NO
May 1st?
Resolved
NO
July 1st?
Resolved
NO
August 1st?
Resolved
NO
July 4th?
Resolved
NO
October 1st?
Resolved
NO
November 1st?

For every date that's an answer, I will check https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/generic-ballot/2024/ at 9PM ET, and resolve that date YES if Republicans are ahead, and NO if Democrats are ahead.

If it's even, I'll resolve to the corresponding color of even (e.g., if it's a blue even, I'll resolve NO).

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bought Ṁ651 NO

@AndrewG I think the remaining two can resolve No now.

bought Ṁ450 NO

@AndrewG I think July 1, July 4 and August 1 can resolve No as well.

bought Ṁ250 NO

@AndrewG April and May should resolve NO

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