Will a Democrat win an absolute majority of the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
82
210Ṁ45kresolved Nov 6
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if the Democratic nominee has >50% of all votes cast in the 2024 Presidential Election by the time the new President is inaugurated.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ15,937 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1,217 | |
| 3 | Ṁ124 | |
| 4 | Ṁ121 | |
| 5 | Ṁ110 |
People are also trading
Sort by:
@ChinmayTheMathGuy you can create a limit order to buy no shares at whichever % you think is appropriate, which will automatically sell your current yes shares if other people try buying yes at that %
@mongo Exactly, the standard terminology would be plurality vs majority, but I wanted to avoid misinterpretations so I used 'absolute majority'.
