Will the US create an antitrust safe harbor for AI safety & security collaboration by 2028?
Basic
1
Ṁ102028
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to yes if the US creates a policy by 2028 that establishes a harbor for AI safety and security collaboration. The policy should allow frontier-model developers to collaborate on AI safety and security work without violating antitrust rules.
Luke Muehlhauser from Open Philanthropy suggests this idea in his April 2023 post, "12 tentative ideas for US AI policy." This market idea was proposed by Michael Chen.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the US regulate AI development by end of 2025?
43% chance
Will the US establish a clear AI developer liability framework for AI harms by 2028?
39% chance
Will the US require a license to develop frontier AI models by 2028?
50% chance
By end of 2028, will there be a global AI organization, responsible for AI safety and regulations?
43% chance
Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?
75% chance
Will the U.S. create a new federal agency to regulate AI by the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will the US fund defensive information security R&D for limiting unintended proliferation of dangerous AI models by 2028
53% chance
Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?
78% chance
Will the US government require AI labs to run safety/alignment evals by 2025?
20% chance