Will a quantum computer break any widely used cryptosystem before 2030?
9
Ṁ300Ṁ499Feb 6
17%
chance
8
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
YES
• Shor-capable systems are progressing faster than predicted.
• Attackers may be ahead of the scientific disclosures.
• Harvest-now-decrypt-later attacks already accumulating data.
NO
• Error correction overhead remains extremely large.
• Practical, scalable quantum systems might still be a
decade away.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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