Will a quantum attack lead to a real-world crypto theft exceeding $100M before 2032? | Manifold

Will a quantum attack lead to a real-world crypto theft exceeding $100M before 2032?

5

Ṁ100Ṁ201

2031

NO • Attackers may remain stealthy for strategic advantage. • PQC migration may happen faster than expected.65%

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

YES

• DeFi hacks already exceed this number with classical tools.

• Quantum-enabled key extraction would be catastrophic.

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