Will real money political prediction markets be legal in the US before the end of 2025?
15
1kṀ3182resolved Oct 3
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if any major real money prediction market platform based in the US started offering markets on US elections.
Resolves No otherwise.
*It could be the case that real money political prediction markets have became gray area legal but no US real money prediction market platform are willing to offer US election markets due to the risk. In this case, as long as no US election markets are offered by any US real money prediction market platforms, this resolves NO
Note: Predictit is New Zealand based, therefore is excluded
Iowa electronic market and ACE I do not count as real money political prediction markets platform because its academic research based not commercial based.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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