Will GPT be the no.1 LLM today? (Daily Market)
18
5.1kṀ110k
resolved Jan 31
Resolved
YES
March 16th, 2024
Resolved
YES
March 17th, 2024
Resolved
YES
March 18th, 2024
Resolved
YES
March 19th, 2024
Resolved
YES
March 20th, 2024
Resolved
YES
March 21th, 2024
Resolved
YES
March 22th, 2024
Resolved
YES
March 23th, 2024
Resolved
YES
March 24th, 2024
Resolved
YES
March 25th, 2024
Resolved
YES
March 26th, 2024
Resolved
NO
March 27th, 2024
Resolved
NO
March 28th, 2024
Resolved
NO
March 29th, 2024
Resolved
NO
March 30th, 2024
Resolved
NO
March 31th, 2024
Resolved
NO
April 1st, 2024
Resolved
NO
April 2nd, 2024
Resolved
NO
April 3rd, 2024
Resolved
NO
April 4th, 2024

Will GPT be the no.1 LLM on this day?
This market will resolve base on the ranking on Chatbot Arena Leaderboard
https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard
(updated leaderboard link:)
https://chat.lmsys.org/?leaderboard


Resolves Yes for the day if any versions of Chatgpt (which would include GPT3.5, GPT4, GPT4.5, GPT5) is number 1 at any time of the day. (i.e. a screenshot at anytime of the day is sufficient for the day to resolve yes.)

If no one posted a screenshot for Chatgpt being #1 for the day, I will check the ranking on the next day and resolve base on whether I see Chatgpt being #1 on the next day. If you want to make sure you win your bets, post a screenshot!


Clarification:
Number 1 means having the highest Arena Elo. If there's two AI with the exact same Arena Elo, I would count both as number 1.
The leftmost rank column is not relevant for this market

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