China will make a LLM approximately as good or better than GPT4 before 2025
47
219
950
2025
63%
chance

Apr 1, 4:30pm: Will China make a LLM as good as GPT4 before 2025? → Will China make a LLM approximately as good or better than GPT4 before 2025?

Apr 1, 4:30pm: Will China make a LLM approximately as good or better than GPT4 before 2025? → China will make a LLM approximately as good or better than GPT4 before 2025

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bought Ṁ100 of YES

01.ai - a chinese LLM, is apparently the best open sourced LLM?

Global open-source LLM English/Chinese benchmarks (November 5, 2023)

bought Ṁ10 YES at 68%

'As good as or better' could cover a wide variety of scenarios that would differ if you were judging from the Chinese government's perspective versus from an American's - are there technical benchmarks you'd like to refer to?

predicts NO

I think censorship, in both model input and output, will the model worse.