China will make a LLM approximately as good or better than GPT4 before 2025
➕
Plus
55
Ṁ4156
2025
90%
chance

Apr 1, 4:30pm: Will China make a LLM as good as GPT4 before 2025? → Will China make a LLM approximately as good or better than GPT4 before 2025?

Apr 1, 4:30pm: Will China make a LLM approximately as good or better than GPT4 before 2025? → China will make a LLM approximately as good or better than GPT4 before 2025

#LLMs
#🇨🇳 China
#GPT-4
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
8 Comments
50 Holders
98 Trades
Sort by:

@NathanYoung If you were referring to the old GPT-4 (based on the fact that you created the market back in 2023), you should resolve the market now.

@Sss19971997 Sorry, wrong nathan. @NathanpmYoung

@NathanpmYoung Yi-Large is significantly better than GPT4-0314 now

Which GPT4 are you referring to?

Qwen-max already score higher than GPT4-0314

01.ai - a chinese LLM, is apparently the best open sourced LLM?

Global open-source LLM English/Chinese benchmarks (November 5, 2023)

bought Ṁ10 YES at 68%

'As good as or better' could cover a wide variety of scenarios that would differ if you were judging from the Chinese government's perspective versus from an American's - are there technical benchmarks you'd like to refer to?

@NathanpmYoung

predicts NO

I think censorship, in both model input and output, will the model worse.

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules