Will another core staff leave Manifold before the end of 2024?
4
24
180
2025
67%
chance


Austin announced his departure from Manifold on April 2nd, 2024. Will another core Manifold staff leave Manifold before the end of 2024?


Core staff included for this resolution
Marshall Polaris, David Chee, @JamesGrugett, Stephen Grugett, @ian,@Sinclair, Alice Pang
(Please let me know if I missed any core staff)

@Gen and @Joshua doesnt count since they are part time

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Alice was let go 3/14/24 per https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Standup-3ca65fa80f214276b029b3c8c6c7fc63#d9bac1ef4e88440e8b66491e62369486 - I assume she would not be counted for this market?

Marshall is also part-time (15 hours per week) per https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Manifold-Finances-0f9a14a16afe4375b67e21471ce456b0

@wasabipesto Alice doesn’t count since she kind of left together with Austin

I decided to count Marshall even if he isn’t full time