When will the 160-Year-Old Abortion Ban in Arizona be repealed?
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42
Ṁ14k
resolved May 3
Resolved
YES
before the end of 2025
Resolved
YES
before the end of 2027
Resolved
YES
before the end of 2045
Resolved
YES
before the end of 2028
Resolved
YES
before the end of 2029
Resolved
YES
before the end of 2030
Resolved
YES
before the end of 2035
Resolved
YES
before the end of 2040
Resolved
YES
before the end of 2050
Resolved
YES
before the end of 2026
Resolved
YES
When it is repealed, Donald Trump is still alive
Resolved
YES
When it is repealed, Manifold Markets is still running (not defunct)
Resolved
YES
before the end of 2024
Resolved
NO
When it is repealed, the US has already has elected the first female US president
Resolved
NO
When it is repealed, a majority of supreme court justice are appointed by Democratic Presidents (start counting from market creation)

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/09/us/arizona-abortion-ban.html

Arizona Reinstates 160-Year-Old Abortion Ban

The state’s highest court said the law, moribund for decades under Roe v. Wade, was now enforceable, but put its decision on hold for a lower court to hear other challenges to the law.



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This can resolve! https://apnews.com/article/arizona-governor-abortion-ban-1864-signing-07bba2fa805971be62b800bd89c81a5a

Arizona's Democratic governor signs a bill to repeal 1864 ban on most abortions

Arizona's Democratic governor signs a bill to repeal 1864 ban on most abortions
The near-total Civil War-era ban permits abortions only to save the patient’s life and provides no exceptions for survivors of rape or incest.
bought Ṁ9 YES

Arizona Lawmakers Repeal 1864 Abortion Ban https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/01/us/arizona-senate-house-abortion-ruling.html?smid=nytcore-android-share

@Marnix it's expected that it'll be signed tomorrow

Hopefully never

@userd358 https://manifold.markets/Seeker/are-you-proabortion-or-antiabortion

@userd358 Agreed. A ban on abortion of 160-year old fetuses sounds reasonable to me.

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