What will happen before the end of Feb 2024?
Everyone welcomed to add your question
If you create a question and place at least one bet on another question , I'll refund 25M to you, making your question creation free. (1 refund per person)
Add your question to compete for a 300M prize, awarded to each of the top 3 markets with the highest number of traders by the end of February 2024 (excluding questions I created)
(no limits to how many questions one can create)
The closing time for the market will likely be extended until all questions have been resolved
I reserve the right to NA questions that I think are unreasonable
Claim your 25M refund here:
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/create-a-market-here-and-get-25m-bo
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ625 | |
| 2 | Ṁ321 | |
| 3 | Ṁ304 | |
| 4 | Ṁ203 | |
| 5 | Ṁ157 |
This concludes the February market.
the most traded market prize goes to
@JamesF Israel and Hamas cease fire (15)
@TonyPepperoni There will be more than 100 answers created (16)
Tie breaker for 3rd place. so I splited the prize into 3
@TheAllMemeingEye Mark Zuckerberg is photographed either with an iceberg or an iceberg lettuce in frame (11)
@JamesF GPT 5 is released (11)
@PatrickLutzb8c1 At least two more states remove Trump from their primary ballot(11)
the prize has been sent directly to winner's account
>Elden Ring: Shadow of the Erdtree will be released
Somehow this is sitting higher than "Elden Ring DLC releases" https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-will-happen-in-february-2024-a?r=TXVnYVNvZmVy
@MugaSofer DLC now announced for 21st of June, so can resolve NO
@nikki Earlier discussion suggested that only primaries Trump is on should count https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/what-will-happen-before-the-end-of-e302c52a2102#vod6givg02i
Also, arguably since Trump is "none of these candidates", he did win!
If it is ruled that we're not counting Nevada, I'll refund you the 20 Mana you spent just now.
@AmmonLam There is already functioning standalone website for Manifold Politics https://www.manifoldpolitics.com/
I believe this should be resolved yes as per: https://blog.google/products/gemini/bard-gemini-advanced-app/