My kid chooses her favorite picture
90
19kṀ94k
Dec 11
13%
"Fairy adventure with my dad" : https://shorturl.at/9nP0r
3%
The State Flag of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics: https://files.catbox.moe/9960nc.png
26%
Bob holding teddy: https://imgur.com/a/sro75PQ
10%
Optical Illusion - https://tinyurl.com/2t8tt49z
3%Other

I have a 6-year-old daughter. At market close, I will put the top 5–15 pictures on one screen and show them to her. I will then ask her to pick her favorite. If she picks multiple options or cannot decide between them, I will resolve to multiple options with equal weights.

When there are more than 10 answers submitted, I may gradually rule out some low-probability options. These rule-outs are not final: within 24 hours of an option being ruled out, if a trader strongly believes it still has a good chance of winning, they may place a 1,000 mana 10% YES limit order on that option to demonstrate conviction, and I will revive it.

I have not pre-specified how many top-ranked pictures will appear in the final list. X will be chosen arbitrarily between 5 and 15 as a way to deter sniping and whale-baiting.

When submitting an answer, please include a very brief description of the image and a link to it. Please add an answer yourself (which costs 1000mana). If you post a picture in the comments, I will consider adding it if it's popular.

The market close date is tentative.


I will remove any image that is not appropriate for kids from the answers.

  • Update 2025-11-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): An image depicting "poopy butt" would not be disqualified from consideration, even though the market states that images not appropriate for kids will be removed.

  • Update 2025-11-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Animated gifs are not accepted as submissions, since all images must be displayed on a single static page for the child to choose from.

  • Update 2025-11-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will add the user-proposed picture with the most likes (among those not yet added) in the next few days.

  • Update 2025-11-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will add user-proposed pictures from the comments that receive the most likes as answer options.

  • Update 2025-12-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will officially close on December 10 around 11pm ET (not the previously listed date of December 11, 2025).

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Kinkade

@traders

Guess my kid's favorite toy

@traders This market will officially close on Dec 10 around 11pm ET. Please bet accordingly.

@AmmonLam are these the final standings?

Woah! This market is ranked!

@mods unrank

@121 shhhh

@121 looks like someone unranked it but idk why. it's predictive just silly. oh well.

@Stralor can we make this market ranked again? Like you said this market has no self resolving element

Does this necessitate an argument defending why this other market should have been ranked as well? (It wasn't ranked.)

/AmmonLam/my-kid-chooses-which-option-will-wi

@Quroe I can understand why they unranked this previous market, since the market ended up having some self resolving element to it due to imperfect market design.

This current market has no self resolving element though.

I'm interested in seeing how the chips land on ranked status here. It will be a notable case study.

@Quroe The chips are going to land: "I wouldn't have Unranked it, but I also won't fight other mods about it." Sorry y'all

@Stralor I'd rather change the policy down the line than fuss about every market along the way

@Stralor

121 party pooper moment again ahahhhahahahaahahhahaha

bought Ṁ2,000 NO

@traders New answers added based on traders' suggestions!

Cosmic quokka - https://tinyurl.com/d87tcub7
Optical Illusion - https://tinyurl.com/2t8tt49z
Bird friends - https://tinyurl.com/kxf74j8t
nagai hiroshi - https://tinyurl.com/bwfnbnkf

@AmmonLam no inverted pentagram? 😢

@JustMeIPNt Link fixed!

@AmmonLam Thank you!

nagai hiroshi

vyacheslav mishchenko

Going to add the users proposed picture with the most likes in the next few days.
(Among those that aren't added yet)

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