My kid chooses which option will win
273
5kαΉ€190k
resolved Nov 21
100%28%
[Top 7]πŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸ§šβ€β™€οΈβœ¨βœ¨βœ¨πŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸ’–πŸ’–πŸ‘¨β€πŸ‘§πŸ’–πŸ°πŸ°πŸŒΈπŸŒΈ πŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸ§šβ€β™€οΈβœ¨βœ¨βœ¨πŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸ’–πŸ’–πŸ‘¨β€πŸ‘§πŸ’–πŸ°πŸ°πŸŒΈπŸŒΈ FAIRY ADVENTURE WITH MY DAD πŸŒΈπŸŒΈπŸ°πŸ°πŸ’–πŸ‘¨β€πŸ‘§πŸ’–πŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸŒˆβœ¨βœ¨βœ¨πŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸŒΈπŸŒΈπŸ°πŸ°πŸ’–πŸ‘¨β€πŸ‘§πŸ’–πŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸŒˆβœ¨βœ¨βœ¨πŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸ§šβ€β™€οΈ
0.0%
[RULED OUT] meow πŸˆβ€β¬› 😻
0.0%
[RULED OUT] Fire trucks πŸš’β£οΈ
0.0%
ice cream
0.0%
[RULED OUT] unicorn dance party πŸ¦„
0.0%
[RULED OUT]πŸ…πŸ‡πŸŠπŸ‹πŸπŸ˜πŸ™πŸœπŸ πŸ¦”πŸ§πŸ¦ˆ
0.0%
[RULED OUT] butt
0.0%
My dad is the best dad ever
8%
[Top 7] i like bluey
9%
[Top 7]βœ¨πŸ¦„Bluey goes on an adventure with unicorns! πŸ¦„βœ¨πŸ¦‹
0.0%
[RULED OUT] πŸ• Puppies! πŸ•
0.0%
[RULED OUT] the skibidi 67 sigma labubu dubai chocolate clanker the Rizzler u not shkspr icl twin speed
0.0%
[RULED OUT] hiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii :3
0.0%
pick me
0.0%
[RULED OUT] (sung to the melody) baby shark do do do
0.0%
[RULED OUT] Eliezer Yudkowsky
0.0%
[RULED OUT] rationalussy
0.0%
[RULED OUT]πŸ‘Ώβ˜ οΈdeath 🩸πŸ”ͺπŸ—‘οΈ
0.0%
[RULED OUT] Quarterly earnings call transcript analysis
0.0%
[RULED OUT] Bedtime should be earlier

I have a 6-year old daughter. At market close I will read out the top 7 options in descending order (highest percentage option gets to be spoken first) and ask her to pick one. If she picks multiple options or can't decide between them, I will resolve to multiple options with equal weights.

FINE PRINT:

  • I reserve the right to disqualify any options I don't want to read out: if you promise her candy in exchange for choosing your answer, I'm not going to read it out because I don't want to be on the hook for the ensuing temper tantrum when there isn't any candy.

  • My rule about trading in my own markets when there's some discretion in the resolution process is that I allow myself to trade, but commit to owning zero shares at resolution time.

  • Some people are adding emojis. I will in fact show her the answers as I'm reading them to her, so that's a viable strategy

[Major Update] I'll stop accepting new submissions as of Dec 18 6:38 pm, and I will start ruling out options gradually by marking [RULED OUT] in front of them to indicate that these options will not read out regardless of their price at market close.

I'll only rule out the lowest price options, so I do not accidentally rule out an option with reasonable potential.

Any new submission from now on will automatically be ruled out.



The final top 7:

11%βœ¨πŸ¦„Bluey goes on an adventure with unicorns! πŸ¦„βœ¨πŸ¦‹

Open options

11%😺😺😺😼😺😺😼😺😺😺😺😺😺😺😺😼😺😺😼😺😺😺😺😺😺😺😼😺😺😼😺😺😺😺😺😺😼😺😺😼😺😺😺😺😺😺 CAT 😺😺😺😼😺😺😼😺😺😺😺😺😺😼😺😺😼😺😺😺😺😺😺😼😺😺😼😺😺😺😺😺😺😼😺😺😼😺😺😺😺😺😺😺😼😺

10%i like bluey

10%πŸ’©πŸ’©πŸ’©πŸŽΆ Poopy Butt, Poopy Butt, Daddy loves Poopy Butt!!! πŸŽΆπŸ’©πŸ’©πŸ’©

10%πŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸ§šβ€β™€οΈβœ¨βœ¨βœ¨πŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸ’–πŸ’–πŸ‘¨β€πŸ‘§πŸ’–πŸ°πŸ°πŸŒΈπŸŒΈ πŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸ§šβ€β™€οΈβœ¨βœ¨βœ¨πŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸ’–πŸ’–πŸ‘¨β€πŸ‘§πŸ’–πŸ°πŸ°πŸŒΈπŸŒΈ FAIRY ADVENTURE WITH MY DAD πŸŒΈπŸŒΈπŸ°πŸ°πŸ’–πŸ‘¨β€πŸ‘§πŸ’–πŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸŒˆβœ¨βœ¨βœ¨πŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸŒΈπŸŒΈπŸ°πŸ°πŸ’–πŸ‘¨β€πŸ‘§πŸ’–πŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸŒˆβœ¨βœ¨βœ¨πŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸ§šβ€β™€οΈπŸ§šβ€β™€οΈ

10%πŸ‘‘πŸ‘ΈπŸ‘‘princesses and unicorns πŸ¦„πŸ¦„πŸ¦„πŸ¦„ fluffy puppies πŸ₯ΊπŸΆπŸ₯ΊπŸ¦„πŸ¦„πŸ¦„

8% 6767676767676767676767676767676767


  • Update 2025-11-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will not close at the scheduled date (Nov 21, 2025). Instead, the creator will close the market anytime from Nov 18th onwards once option prices have stabilized, at which point the top 7 options will be determined for the daughter to choose from.

  • Update 2025-11-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Other" will not be read out as an option and is not eligible to win.

  • Update 2025-11-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If any of the top 7 options are objectionable or "Other", they will be excluded and replaced with the next highest options to ensure exactly 7 options are always read out.

  • Update 2025-11-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The option (sung to the melody) baby shark do do do will be read out only once as "ba-by shark doo-doo-doo-doo-doo-doo" (not repeated three times as in the traditional song).

  • Update 2025-11-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): New option submissions are now closed. Any options submitted after this point will be automatically ruled out.

The creator will mark options as [RULED OUT] to indicate they will not be read out regardless of their price at market close. Only the lowest price options will be ruled out to avoid accidentally excluding options with reasonable potential.

  • Update 2025-11-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market has been closed. The creator will:

Step 1: Announce the top 7 options based on current prices and mark them in the options list.

Step 2: Reopen the market at an unannounced time. After reopening, the 7 selected options are locked in and will be read out regardless of subsequent price changes. Trading after reopening will reflect traders' beliefs about which of those 7 options the daughter will choose, with no possibility of whalebaiting to change which options are in the top 7.

  • Update 2025-11-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has finalized the top 7 options that will be read out to the daughter. These 7 options are now locked in based on current prices and will be read out regardless of their prices when the market reopens or closes again. The market will reopen at an unannounced time, and any trading after reopening will only reflect beliefs about which of those 7 locked-in options the daughter will choose. No further changes to which options are in the top 7 will occur.

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πŸ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1αΉ€4,235
2αΉ€1,705
3αΉ€1,436
4αΉ€808
5αΉ€481
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lets organize a fairy adventure for her

@AmmonLam insane come from behind victory from option #1. Based on the chuckles I was sure a different option would win. Huge show of support for Ammon tbh

@AmmonLam So cute!

@AmmonLam my favorite part was 67676767676767 :3 hahahahah

@AmmonLam please let your daughter know that I’m not mad, just disappointed.

@snazzlePop Actually I need to credit you for nudging me to create this market in the first place. I didn't expect it to end up with this such active participation from the community.

@snazzlePop You found a way to incentivize 273 people to try to find the best way to make a kid laugh

Will try to record the video of my kid picking the option tomorrow or Saturday, stay tuned!

bought αΉ€50 NO

bought αΉ€25 YES

All the options are pretty much the same thing

sold αΉ€0 YES

@ItsMe how old men talk about the interests of youth since time immemorial

opened a αΉ€250 YES at 15% order

buying poopy butt for 16%

opened a αΉ€100 YES at 14% order

@spiderduckpig and fairy adventure with my dad

opened a αΉ€1,000 NO at 2% order

I bet whichever one is read first (or last) will win.

sold αΉ€4,481 NO

@ItsMe at what percent would you sell 2000 shares worth of poopy butt?

bought αΉ€10 YES

20%

@ItsMe called it

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