If Trump wins, will deportation of illegal immigrants go up by 50%?
12
19
1k
2026
60%
chance

Trump made multiple claims throughout his campaign about deporting undocumented immigrants, stating that he would carry out the "largest deportation in American history."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/20/trump-mass-deportations-immigration/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ks12ctSXwg
Will Trump carry out his plan to have the "largest deportation in American history"?


Resolution will be based on the ICE annual report for 2025.
Resolves Yes if Trump won the 2024 election, and the deportation of illegal immigrants in fiscal year 2025 goes up by 50% compare to the 2023 numbers. (i.e. Resolves Yes if 2025 deportation count is higher than 307,687)


Supplementary details:
https://www.ice.gov/news/releases/ice-releases-fiscal-year-2023-annual-report
In fiscal year 2023, "ICE ERO’s 142,580 removals and 62,545 Title 42 expulsions to more than 170 countries worldwide", a total of 205,125 deportation of illegal immigrants.

Below are the ICE removal statistics for 2017-2019

https://www.ice.gov/sites/default/files/documents/Document/2019/eroReportFY2019.pdf

Conditional and unconditional markets on illegal immigrants deportation:

Get Ṁ600 play money

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