Towards the end of 2027, I will do a poll on Manifold asking "Do you mainly use software or AI software to do your tax return?"
Using Turbo tax is an example of mainly using software to do tax return
If a personal accountant is involved, it doesn't count as "mainly using software" to file tax return
As AI improves, I anticipate that Turbo tax and other tax return software would adapt AI for tax return as well.
Resolves Yes if over 50% of the respondent answered Yes.
1,000
3.00@mattyb perhaps. To make the question better reflect the improvement in AI ability to do tax return, here's a question with a higher requirement:
@mattyb I would argue that people who go to an in-person accountant to have their taxes done are still "using software" to file their taxes if the accountant uses software to file it.
@Pykess So I should clarity, as soon as a personal accountant is involved, it doesnt count as "mainly using software" to file tax return