If there is a war with China, will the inflation adjusted value of 'my' savings decline by more than 50% after 5 years?
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I'm not going to post my actual savings portfolio. Instead this question can use the following simplified hypothetical portfolio to resolve:

1) 25% in SPY
2) 12.5% in QQQ
3) 12.5% in SMH
4) 25% in the highest yield safe investments available after the war has started (probably a CD ladder of some sort)
5) 12.5% in BTC

6) 12.5% in ETH

Assuming a hypothetical savings portoflio of $100k, if the inflation adjusted value is less than $50k after 5 years from the start of the war, the question would resolve YES (so if the nominal value goes down by 25%, and if there is cumulative 25% inflation). If there is no war, the question will resolve N/A.

Note that the start period for the question is when China begins its attack against Taiwan - a blockade would count. If the stock market responds with a large swing in the days before the attack because of credible information, the start period would be right before the swing. If China makes an announcement or large troop movement a month or two before the attack, after which the market gradually declines, the start period would be right before the announcement or troop movement. A gradual decline without a clear precipitating event would not count.

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