MANIFOLD
Will gold rate above 4500 USD per ounce today
6
Ṁ100Ṁ1.7k
resolved Dec 25
Resolved
YES

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if the spot price of gold reaches or exceeds $4,500 USD per troy ounce at any point during December 22, 2025. Resolution will be determined using the live gold spot price from a major commodity exchange or financial data provider such as COMEX, the OTC London market, or the Shanghai Gold Exchange. The market resolves NO if the price closes below $4,500 USD per ounce by end of day December 22, 2025.

Background

Gold rose to 4,400.91 USD per troy ounce on December 22, 2025, up 1.34% from the previous day. Gold broke through $4,400 per ounce for the first time on Monday, hitting an all-time high on expectations of US interest rate cuts and escalating geopolitical tensions. Bullion has surged more than 60% so far this year, on track for its best year since 1979.

Considerations

The gold market trades continuously across global exchanges, meaning the price fluctuates throughout the day. A single intraday spike above $4,500 would satisfy the resolution criteria, even if the price closes lower. Gold spot price can fluctuate by the second, driven by investment supply and demand, and other factors.

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@mods please reresolve correctly, price has gone over 4500 on Dec 22, as the rules state

@mods Here is a screenshot that shows more clearly the price at $4,535.80 for Dec. 22nd at Comex which is listed in the description as being used for resolution.

@AlwinSales The resolution should be YES. Your description: "Resolution will be determined using the live gold spot price from a major commodity exchange or financial data provider such as COMEX." You can see the historical price here: https://comexlive.org/gold/

It's clearly above $4,500 on Dec. 22.

@AlwinSales In order to fix it I think you need to tag @ mods to ask them to unresolve and then re-resolve to YES.

@AlwinSales why did you resolve it no?

@AlwinSales that’s only showing 9am. It got higher later

@creator plz resolve

bought Ṁ500 YES

Resolves YES. Comex gold price is currently $4,502.90

Insider trading time, all you need is a geophysics degree, some equipment, and lots of time.

USD … how low can you go 🎵 … how low can you go 🎵🎶.

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