Will the first person have been successfully revived from cryonics by... ?
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27
1.9k
Nov 28
72%
2080
70%
2075
69%
2070
69%
2065
65%
2060
64%
2055
64%
2050
62%
2045
45%
2040
16%
2035
11%
2030

An individual has been revived from a state of cryopreservation, is believed to be conscious by the scientific consensus at the time, and can remain alive for >1 year. This includes a mind upload of the cryo-patient who is believed to be conscious and a continuation of the personhood of the cryo-patient by the scientific consensus at the time.

All years after the year this happens will resolve to YES, e.g. if it happens in 2031, then 2035, 2040 etc will all resolve in YES.
All options resolve to NO if this has not occurred by the last date.

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  1. This question is part of Foresight’s 2023 Vision Weekends to help spark discussion amongst participants, so the phrasing and resolution criteria may be vaguer than I would normally like for this site. Apologies for that. We thought it would still be useful to make the market public to potentially inform other discussions.

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Both me and the author are going to need to be cryogenically frozen and revived for me to recieve my payout.

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