A multipolar AGI scenario is safer than a singleton AGI scenario
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5
Ṁ48Nov 23
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Disclaimers:
This question is part of Foresight’s 2023 Vision Weekends to help spark discussion amongst participants, so the phrasing and resolution criteria may be vaguer than I would normally like for this site. Apologies for that. We thought it would still be useful to make the market public to potentially inform other discussions.
If you would to add alternative answers, please do so in the comments!
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