Will Chinese social credit system be thought to be based on AI with own goals by end of 2035?
Plus
9
Ṁ10212035
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on news reports, and Manifold poll in case of doubt.
If by 2035 (or social credit shutdown, if it happens earlier) the main part of system remains manually-set weights for each deed, this market resolves NO. If the core is AI thought to have own goals and pursuing them while assigning ratings, resolves YES. If there are doubts, this market can resolve PROB, leaning towards NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will China announce the establishment of an AI Safety Insitute in 2024?
20% chance
Will we find out in 2024 about breakthrough Chinese AI progress? (subjective resolution)
20% chance
Will AI create utopia for humans by the year 2100?
32% chance
Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2030? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]
38% chance
Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?
34% chance
Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?
19% chance
Will at least one Western-based AI/LLM introduce social credit scoring as part of its self-empowerment by EOY2030
50% chance
Will there be an Ozymandias-Beihai act motivated by AI risks by 2035?
45% chance
[Metaculus] Will an International AI regulatory agency for oversight of transformative AI be established before 2030?
73% chance