Lightning market: Will Manifold find Trump's "very big announcement" positive or negative?

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Edit: YES = positive; NO = negative

Once Trump has made his "very big announcement" later this week or early next I'll start a poll to gauge sentiment about the announcement. There will only be two options: feeling more positive or more negative about the announcement. The poll will stay open for two days.

This market will close Wednesday night to ensure it closes before the mystery announcement which was said to happen Thursday, Friday or Monday.

Mystery announcement for context: https://nitter.net/america/status/1919811307781423338#m

Edit: if the poll is a tie, this market resolves N/A. If there no announcement by May 20th, I won't create a poll and this resolves N/A as well.

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opened a Ṁ50 YES at 21% order

Considering it's probably Foreign Policy related, I think this might something which most people agree with.

@FergusArgyll interesting. My mind immediately jumps to stuff like Mar-a-Gaza, handing Ukraine to Russia or bullying our allies.

@AlexanderTheGreater If it's one of those, then I definitely lose my manna 😂

I don't think any of those, however, qualify under "one of the most important announcements that have been made in many years about a certain subject"

Ukraine/Russia definitely doesn't have the weight of "many years".

I think it'll be either Iran related (Nuke deal, or coalition / sanctions against them) or Abraham Accords related. I think both of those would poll decently

@FergusArgyll Abraham Accords would be a good one. While my own top priority is a defeat and utter humiliation of Putin and his Russia, I think you are right that Trump wouldn't see Ukraine news as big.