This week Manifold went down during high volume periods and showed old/laggy/inaccurate markets to users as a result.

Someone in a thread questioned the servers ability to handle election night, and I agreed they would likely be unable to handle the potential traffic were they relying on the same infra.

Here's a market which seeks to answer this question. We'll try to resolve it before the end of the year so if they raise before but announce after, the "YES" folks will haveit.

• Update 2025-02-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Updated Resolution Timeframe:

  • The resolution will be extended to the end of Q1.

  • This accommodates the possibility that venture capital raises may take up to 6 months to be announced.

  • The market resolution criteria now incorporate this extended announcement window.