
JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029
49
1kṀ92082029
23%
chance
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This market resolves YES if JD Vance and Usha Vance publicly announce their separation or divorce, or if credible media sources report their separation/divorce filing before June 1st, 2029. Resolution will be based on reports from major news outlets like ABC News, Fox News, or other mainstream media sources.
The date is chosen to be after the current term as VP and give them enough time to execute on a decision they might have made but held off on during his time as VP and a potential campaign for his own presidency
Update 2025-11-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Usha Vance has an "accident" (dies), this would not count as a separation or divorce and the market would resolve NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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