
If there is AI Doom by 2030, the largest human casualties will be a result of...
7
490Ṁ1842031
33%
Bio-Risk
10%
Drones
4%
"AI gets the nuclear codes"
3%
Chemical attack
3%
Machines boil oceans as heatsink for compute
4%
Disruption of global food supply chain
4%
AI doomer data center airstrike starts WW3 + nuclear winter
4%
AI hacking takes down global communications networks
6%
Paperclipped
28%
other
If "the Humans are Dead", what killed them?
Defaults to the highest casualty vector in lieu of extinction.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Does an AI disaster kill at least 1,000 people before 2040?
58% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 100,000 people before 2040?
31% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 100 people before 2040?
80% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 10,000 people before 2040?
37% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 100,000,000 people before 2040?
10% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 1,000,000 people before 2040?
25% chance
Will AI kill >20% of the human population before 2030?
5% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 10,000,000 people before 2040?
18% chance
Before 2030 AI causes death of more than 5% of humans in less than a 3 month period.
5% chance
Will there be a massive catastrophe caused by AI before 2030?
29% chance