
Will a publicly-available LLM be able to solve Cryptic Crossword clues by June 30, 2024?
7
150Ṁ462resolved Jul 17
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
LLMs can do almost everything these days. One thing they fail at is solving cryptic crossword clues.
The model need not be open-source, but there must be an API widely available.
Currently, GPT4, Claude, and Google Bard all consistently fail at solving these types of riddles. I do not have thorough data, but I would be surprised if any of the models could answer even 10% of these correctly.
If they can answer 75% correctly, this market will resolve as YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ21 | |
2 | Ṁ20 | |
3 | Ṁ8 | |
4 | Ṁ6 | |
5 | Ṁ5 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the best public LLM at the end of 2025 solve more than 5 of the first 10 Project Euler problems published in 2026?
75% chance
Will an LLM consistently create 5x5 word squares by 2026?
81% chance
Will an LLM be able to solve Raven's Progressive Matrices from an image in 2025?
65% chance
Will a publicly-available LLM achieve gold on IMO before 2026?
28% chance
Will an LLM be able to solve the Self-Referential Aptitude Test before 2027?
66% chance
In 2025, will I be able to play Civ against an LLM?
25% chance
Will there be any simple text-based task that most humans can solve, but top LLMs can't? By the end of 2026
64% chance
Will an LLM do a task that the user hadn't requested in a notable way before 2026?
92% chance
Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?
25% chance
Will any LLM be able to consistently play Akinator correctly as the user by 2028?
79% chance