Will another billionaire be murdered in 2023?
33
169
αΉ€590
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Get αΉ€200 play money

πŸ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1αΉ€257
2αΉ€43
3αΉ€29
4αΉ€16
5αΉ€11
Sort by:

⚠ Deleted Creator

πŸ“’Resolves NO
Does this not count because "magic internet money"?
I am not confident in resolving this even though the creator is deleted. But spirit says no.

bought αΉ€20 of YES

I don't know if I'm betting or encouraging. What was that attempt at launching a meme? "Do it for the market"?

sold αΉ€28 of NO
predicted NO

i feel weird moving the market this much

@JonathanRay I would feel more weird moving it the other way

bought αΉ€0 of YES

Even an outside view of actual past billionaire murders would be under 10% and then theta adjustment would bring it down to about 6% same as the other method

~3000 billionaires * 2 per 100k (murder rate in nice developed areas where billionaires live) = 6%

Which billionaire is at such a risk of getting murdered?