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Resolved to YES https://www.bbc.com/news/business-65574826

Arbitrage:

WELL BOYS LOOKS CONFIRMED HE'S STEPPING DOWN BEFORE 2023 EVEN LMAO https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rxSUtFQHI3g

@AlexKirigiya I JUST JOINED THE TITLE MAY BE CLICKBAIT FUCK ME

elon says a lot of things that arent true. i doubt he's stepping down before end of year

@Pherret this market closes end of next year

@ForrestTaylor ah well, the only thing to do now is to go even deeper down the hole

Elon Musk is discussing whether the poll might have been targeted by bots:

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1605015914436595715

Elon Musk is also discussing whether to limit polls to people who have bought bluechecks from him:

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1604985324505030658

Not sure that will lead to it getting overturned, but I now doubt the 77%-ish numbers.

@tailcalled Haha if you look at the quote tweet numbers and the likes together, they tell a different story (one that involves being ratioed)

To clarify: this market is whether Elon steps down by December 31?

@MCMillennium Isn't it just if he steps down as a result of the poll? Like if he spends a while searching for a replacement and then steps down by January 15th, that would surely still count as "steps down as per the results in the linked poll".

@tailcalled The concern then is there is no clear time for resolution. This could just linger forever, if he takes 6 months to get around to finding an replacement CEO or something.

@EdwardKmett Sure, if he delaying it we would have to say that he has failed his commitment. But it seems wrong to expect him to immediately find a new CEO at the busiest time of the year.

@MCMillennium By December 31st 2023.

im ngl im bullish for yes with this newer tweet https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1604623424164282368

Heh, three people all made markets on this at the same time.