Will the next Starship Orbital Launch attempt occur before the end of September 2023?
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189
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resolved Oct 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream entitled "Starship Orbital Flight Test", "Starship Orbital Launch", or similar, which shows a live feed of Starship and a countdown, NO if there is clearly no such livestream by market close, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened at market close.

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These have pretty similar resolution criteria, and since August is over, "the next attempt" or "a attempt" is the same. What am I missing? https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-341aad456b9d

@LaurenzHemmen imo they're the same too. Don't worry, I fixed it :D Thanks for the heads up for free arbitrage!

tbh I've been arbitraging these markets a few times now, I guess people don't really search for arbitrage very often.

I can’t read

👀 Notice to Mariners for rocket launching activities September 8th

Mariners, stand back and stand by.

it has to happen

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