"US law changed to allow third Trump term?"
26
1kṀ2132
2029
15%
chance

By January 20, 2029, will the U.S. Constitution be amended or otherwise legally modified to allow Donald Trump to be eligible to run for a third presidential term?

Resolution Criteria:

This question resolves to YES if and only if:

  • A constitutional amendment removing or modifying the 22nd Amendment's two-term presidential limit is ratified

  • OR a Supreme Court ruling reinterprets the 22nd Amendment in a way that specifically allows Donald Trump to run for a third term

  • OR any other legal mechanism is implemented that would make it lawful for Donald Trump specifically to pursue a third presidential term

This question resolves to NO if:

  • No such constitutional changes or legal modifications are made by January 20, 2029

  • OR any changes made do not specifically enable Donald Trump to be legally eligible for a third term

Clarifications:

  • This question is solely about the legal possibility of Trump running for a third term

  • This is NOT about whether Trump would win a primary, secure his party's nomination, win a general election, or serve a third term

  • This is NOT about whether Trump announces an intention to run for a third term

  • Changes must be legally binding and officially recognized by the appropriate U.S. governmental authorities

  • The question resolves based on the legal status as of January 20, 2029 (the date of the next presidential inauguration following the 2028 election)

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