AI generates image of person with head in psychedelic pool by December 31, 2025
13
100Ṁ1176
Dec 31
89%
chance

This market resolves to YES if anyone uses a simple, straightforward prompt with a publicly accessible AI image generation engine (such as DALL-E) to generate a satisfactory image of a person with only their head inside a psychedelic pool, as verified by the creator (me Aditya) independently.

Prompt example: "Generate an image of a person with their head inside a psychedelic pool, but the rest of the body is outside the pool."

AI
Technology
Technical AI Timelines
OpenAI
AGI
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ200 YES

ImageFX and DALLE fail the test so far, I think such tests display how models are still struggling to maintain robustness and competences are often really fragile

People are also trading

Will AI image generating models score >= 90% on Winoground by June 1, 2025?
76% chance
Will AI image=> video be pwrfl enough to make a person in an image rotate/walk/change clothes by EOY 2025?
85% chance
AI generates better alt text for 90% of test images by June 30, 2026?
62% chance
Will AI image=> video be pwrfl enough to make a person in an image rotate/walk/change clothes by EOY 2024?
83% chance
Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2026?
61% chance
Images assumed to be deepfakes/AI-generated unless proven otherwise before 2030
51% chance
Will an AI generate the best optical illusion of any year before 2030?
51% chance
Will AI be able to create art in a "human-like way" within Photoshop, GIMP, or Paint.NET by the end of 2025?
40% chance
Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2031?
92% chance
Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2029?
86% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules