This is one of 25 props in the tenth annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2025-narcissist-forecasting-contest
It will be adjudicated by judges as described in the fine print of the entry form:
https://forms.gle/Zh6vvRw2YgdYSdgV6
Update 2025-11-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market will resolve based on FIDE standard open ratings published on November 1st (not November 30th as the question title might suggest), available at https://ratings.fide.com/top_lists.phtml?list=open. FIDE ratings update only on the first of each month.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ50 | |
| 2 | Ṁ13 | |
| 3 | Ṁ13 | |
| 4 | Ṁ9 | |
| 5 | Ṁ4 |
FIDE ratings update only monthly, on the first of the month, so this has been resolved Yes in the underlying contest, and it will resolve Yes here (on Dec 1 res date) based on the November standard open ratings, https://ratings.fide.com/top_lists.phtml?list=open. Let me know if you have an argument for a different outcome.
